“No — the political class will prevent it”
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Lebanon's economy has been in severe crisis since 2019, marked by currency collapse, banking sector paralysis, and widespread poverty affecting over half the population. Recovery prospects depend critically on political reforms, security stabilization, and international support through IMF agreements, though recent regional conflict has complicated these efforts. The question of whether meaningful recovery can occur within five years hinges on whether Lebanon's government can implement structural reforms while managing external shocks.