“It will exist but be much weaker”
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NATO, founded in 1949, is a military and political alliance of 32 member states committed to collective defense under Article 5, which treats an attack on one member as an attack on all. The alliance has evolved significantly since the Cold War, expanding eastward and adapting to new security threats, but now faces existential questions about U.S. commitment, burden-sharing among members, and whether its current structure can survive geopolitical shifts and internal tensions. Recent political developments, particularly regarding American leadership and European defense autonomy, have sparked debate about whether NATO will maintain its current form or undergo fundamental restructuring within the next decade.